Tag Archives: registered voters

UW-Madison to review impact of voter ID law in the state

A comprehensive UW-Madison study is underway to determine if Wisconsin’s new voter ID law played a role in the lowest statewide turnout for a presidential election in more than two decades.

The study will review the impact of the state’s voter ID law, considered by some as among the most restrictive in the nation.

The review will focus on Dane and Milwaukee counties, which have the highest percentage of minority and low-income voters in Wisconsin, according to a news release announcing the analysis.

About 66 percent of voting age people in Wisconsin cast ballots on Nov. 8. That turnout was down nearly four percentage points compared to 2012 and was three points behind the predictions from state election officials.

Most counties in Wisconsin saw a decline in turnout, but the drop was particularly dramatic in Milwaukee County, where nearly 50,000 fewer votes were cast this year compared to 2012.

Preliminary exit polling showed that turnout fell off most among young voters and African-Americans.

In Dane County, turnout was up slightly in real numbers, but down roughly 2 percent from four years ago among registered voters.

“Overall there were few problems on election day,” Milwaukee County Clerk Joe Czarnezki said in a press statement.  “However, there were reports of voters who showed up to the polls with the wrong form of photo ID, while others simply did not go to the polls because they feared they did not have proper ID.  This study will move us from anecdotes to facts.”

Marquette poll: Clinton’s Wisconsin lead expands to 15 percent of likely voters

The latest Marquette Law School Poll finds Hillary Clinton at 46 percent with Wisconsin registered voters and Donald Trump at 36 percent.

About 16 percent of voters in the state told Marquette they will: vote for neither candidate, will not vote or don’t know how they will vote, according to a news release issued on Aug. 10.

In July, the poll had Clinton at 43 percent and Trump at 37 percent.

Clinton’s numbers go up among likely voters in November. The Democratic candidate is at 52 percent and Trump is back at 37 percent. In July, on this question, Clinton was at 45 percent and Trump was at 41 percent.

About 65 percent of registered voters have an unfavorable view of Trump and about 53 percent have an unfavorable view of Clinton.

About 47 percent of voters say Clinton “cares about people like me” and 31 percent say that about Trump.

Fifty-eight say Clinton has the qualifications to be president. Just 29 percent say Trump has what’s needed to occupy the Oval Office.

The poll shows about 79 percent of Republicans support Trump and 90 percent of Democrats support Clinton. Independents are split 36 percent for Clinton, 34 percent for Trump and 29 percent saying they would vote for neither, they wouldn’t vote or they don’t know.

Marquette said Republicans and independents who lean Republican see their party as divided —47 percent saying it is divided now and still will be divided in November. The numbers has barely moved from July, when 46 percent said the GOP would remain divided.

Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic, 16 percent say the party is divided and will remain so. In July, 19 percent thought the party would remain divided.

The Marquette poll also looked at the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Russ Feingold. In the November contest, Feingold is at 49 percent and Johnson is at 43 percent. Last month, Feingold was at 48 percent and Johnson at 41 percent.

About 53 percent of likely voters support Feingold and 42 percent support Johnson.

On other questions, Scott Walker’s approval rating is at 38 percent, unchanged from July. His disapproval rating is 59 percent, a point higher from July.

About 54 percent of registered voters have a favorable view of House Speaker Paul Ryan and the president’s approval rating is at 53 percent, two points up from July.

The poll was conducted by phone Aug. 4-7, after the Republican and Democratic national conventions. The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history.

On the web

The Marquette Law School Poll.

Scott Walker’s approval rating stands mired at 38 percent

Scott Walker is setting himself up to run for a third term as governor.

Walker says he will wait until late 2016 or after the end of the year to make a formal decision, but also says he feels good about the progress he’s made and thinks he can build off it.

Walker made the comments to reporters Jan. 26 after he signed a bill at the Rock County Courthouse expanding the state’s Family Care program to the county.

Meanwhile, the latest Marquette Law School poll could mean trouble ahead for his next campaign. It found Walker’s approval rating mired at 38 percent, while 57 percent of registered voters in the state disapprove of the job he’s doing.

In September 2015, when the last poll was taken, 38 percent approved and 58 percent disapproved of the governor.

Only 36 percent of state voters say they would like for him to run for another term, while 61 percent would not like to see him run.

In September 2015, 35 percent supported a third term for Walker, while 62 percent did not.

A career politician, Walker has worked almost exclusively in politics since dropping out of Marquette University in 1990. Last year, he launched a failed bid for the Republican presidential nomination, becoming the first candidate to drop out of the crowded race.

The Marquette poll, which is the most extensive in the state, also looked at presidential preferences among Wisconsinites who said they would vote in the primaries.

In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton received 45 percent of voters’ support, compared to Bernie Sanders’ 43 percent. Martin O’Malley, who has since dropped out of the race, had 1 percent support.

In the November Marquette poll, Clinton had 50 percent, Sanders had 41 percent and O’Malley had 2 percent.

On the Republican side, Donald Trump was supported by 24 percent, followed by Marco Rubio at 18 percent and Ted Cruz at 16 percent. Ben Carson was backed by 8 percent, with Chris Christie at 5 percent. Rand Paul and Carly Fiorina received 3 percent each. Jeb Bush and John Kasich were each at 2 percent, with Mike Huckabee at 1 percent and Rick Santorum at 0.

Those numbers represent a dramatic turnaround from the November poll, in which Carson led the Republican field in with 22 percent, while Trump and Rubio each had 19 percent of voters’ support. Cruz stood at 9 percent in the November poll.

For Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race, Russ Feingold is supported by 50 percent of registered voters, with Republican incumbent Ron Johnson receiving 37 percent. Those numbers are almost unchanged since November.